Expect Divergences, Not Convergences, Between US Stock and PM Asset Prices for the Remainder of 2017

March 22nd, 2017
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22 March 2017

For those that have been following my daily updates on Snapchat (SKWealthAcademy), you know that I stated this past Tuesday that I expected silver and gold to rebound this week after a brief pause that some technical analysts said was a sign that the prices of gold and silver assets were heading lower again this week because of less than impressive follow through after the significant rise last 15 March. Again, the reason I so often contradict the predictions of technical analysts specifically in regard to gold and silver price behavior is because of

(1) my long standing contention that with gold and silver, big global bankers often paint the charts, and try to fool people into selling right before significant rises and into buying right before significant raids; and

(2) my even longer standing contention that one must take a much deeper look behind the scenes to understand what direction global bankers are trying to push gold and silver in the short-term, as there are plenty of times global bankers push gold and silver asset prices higher in the short-term, though long-term, they are perpetually interested in suppressing them.

The analysts that can’t understand that bankers can make huge profits from pushing gold and silver prices both higher and lower in the short-term, if they’ve positioned themselves accordingly before they execute these plans, probably are also dumbfounded by the notion that bankers would ever want stock markets to crash at times as well, believing they can only make money from stock markets if they rise continuously.

 

And speaking of stock market crashes, this has not yet happened in US stock markets, though the DJIA and the S&P500 index both fell by more than 1% yesterday for the first time incredibly in five months, which due to incessant ramping for the last five months, seems like a “crash”. In any event, those following me on Snapchat also know that I’ve stated that US stock markets are a huge bubble and that I expect the sell-off to be extremely volatile and violent when the market finally snaps. Is this the start? Honestly, no one can predict the exact date of when the US market will snap. It could start next week, or it may not materialize for another 3-5 months, but I don’t think it’s a stretch to say that when it does, we’re going to experience something worse and more intense than the global stock market crashes of 2008.

 

However, due to the possibility that the US stock market has peaked as of the end of February, there has been some worries about if the best gold and silver mining stocks are going to be dragged down in any resulting melee, should it materialize. To address this worry, I think it’s overblown, as this concern originates mainly from fear of a repeat of 2008, when Wall Street banks like Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers went belly up and the BIS, and other Central Banks under its umbrella, colluded to simultaneously smash gold and silver prices at a time, had free market forces been allowed to operate, they should have been soaring. There are several reasons why I believe that gold and silver asset prices will diverge from the direction of the US stock market when a significant correction occurs, and after a predictable snap-back rally ensues, again when a deeper, more violent sell-off in US stock markets follows.

 

Number one, Central Bankers that are not on board with the Western banking cartel that do not have a vested interest in seeing the US dollar remain an internationally accepted currency, who reside in all the BRICS nations, now have the benefit of 9-years of white papers and documented evidence of how the BOE, BIS and US Federal Reserve spot gold and spot silver price suppression scheme works, not to mention the admissions of Deutsche Bankers regarding their participation in these schemes. Thus, with knowledge will come a different way of handling the acquisition of physical gold and silver during subsequent global economic turmoil.

 

Secondly, while the People’s Bank of China and the Central Bank of Russia likely welcome price smashes, when they happen, as another opportunity to buy low, I’m fairly certain that all of the BRICS nations will use such situations to buy as much physical PMs as possible and even to acquire more PM mines, which will subsequently place upward pressure on spot prices shortly thereafter. And perhaps more importantly, should the US market correct significantly and a deeper sell-off appear to be on the horizon at some point in the near future, I don’t think that the retail investor is going to be fooled again for a second straight time after the travesty of the 2008 market crash. Even if the percent of the retail market that does not succumb to banker propaganda against gold and silver, and has learned valuable lessons from the 2008 economic crisis is small, even a small percent of this market moving money into PM assets will successfully create a divergence between the prices of PMs and US stocks. So to make a long-story short, I expect divergences in price behavior between US stock prices and the prices of PM assets, including the best gold and silver mining stocks, to occur later this year.

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Is Silver a Better Value than Gold Right Now?

March 17th, 2017
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Earlier this month, I wrote that we would have a window of a few more days to weeks in order to get on board with gold and silver mining stocks at a good price for the first half of this year. I also have written extensively this year about the necessity of using hedges during raids on gold and silver combined with temporary moves to cash to balance out any downside exposure during these raids, and mentioned that again we had applied some hedges against paper gold and paper silver during this last raid. We unwound one hedge last Friday, and we unwound the others earlier this week. If you follow us on SnapChat (SKWealthAcademy), I also stated on the morning of the 15th that there was a good possibility of the interest rate hike that was to happen later that day being already priced in to the current price decline in gold and silver assets and that the announcement could cause a spike higher in the prices of gold and silver assets. And this is exactly what happened.

 

So now with a substantial spike higher in gold and silver asset prices on the back of the US Central Bank’s interest rate hike, has the reversal now begun? It’s a little premature to state the reversal is on its way now, but if you’re new to the gold and silver game, and want to know if now is the time to get on board, visit us at smartknowledgeu.com for more information on how to identify the best junior gold and silver mining stocks and for information on a more conservative gold and silver mining stock portfolio.

 

Now back to the subject at hand. Is silver underpriced compared to gold? Let’s take a look at the facts. Silver currently is $17.28 a troy ounce and gold currently is $1225.66 a troy ounce, meaning the gold: silver price ratio is 71:1. Of course these are spot prices, which don’t match up with actual physical prices, so let’s take a look at the prices of real gold and silver, not paper gold and silver. This morning, the lowest price of a 10-oz gold bar I could find on one dealer’s site per 1-oz of gold was $1,251.29. For silver, the lowest price of a 10-oz silver bar per 1-oz of silver was $18.16. This ratio of gold: silver price still is an enormous 69:1, meaning that you can choose to either buy 10 troy ounces of gold, or for the same dollar amount, purchase 690 ounces of silver. Some people state that Central Bankers don’t care about the price of silver and they only care about controlling the price of gold, but this statement is just flat out wrong, in my opinion. If Central Bankers didn’t care so much about controlling the price of silver, then they wouldn’t flood the market with boatloads of silvers futures contracts to suppress the price of silver as they do with gold, during the periods they create rapid declines in the prices of these two precious metals. Since we know the mechanisms by which they create these waterfall declines in paper markets (as I’ve discussed these mechanisms extensively in the past and provided documented proof with Nanex provided data), there is no argument that Central Bankers are concerned with controlling the price of silver as well as the price of gold.

 

Most people look at the paper price of silver and if it is falling, they mistakenly believe that physical silver is not a good buy because a falling price means too much supply and not enough demand. The supply and demand assumption is true, but only true of the paper market where hundreds more paper silver weight is traded than actually physically exists. So then people turn to physical silver prices, and if physical silver prices are falling, they assume this also means too much physical supply and not enough demand, and conclude that physical silver is not a good buy either. However, physical silver prices only fall when paper silver prices are raided by bankers, because bankers have set up a false system that ties physical prices to paper prices that works spectacularly well for them for now. However, there will come a time when physical silver prices actually reflect what is happening with physical supply of silver and physical demand of silver versus the supply and demand determinants of paper silver markets.

 

And as an investor, or even someone just seeking to preserve purchasing power of one’s savings, one doesn’t want to consider what is happening with silver prices right now, that are still being controlled by the ties to paper market prices, but one wants to consider where silver prices will be heading in the future. There is a lot of deception and opacity with global gold and silver production numbers and demand numbers every year released by “official” world silver and gold associations, as most of these associations are run by bankers, so it’s not possible to blindly accept this data as truthful. For example, much of the supply data is compiled from self-reported data, and if a nation is building up its silver inventories, it may falsely report its real numbers of mined silver annually if its leaders do not want to reveal its hand to the rest of the world, which is a strong possibility. And those that have closely looked at the demand data provided by banker-run global associations have always discovered very significant errors in data compilation and misleading underreported demand data for gold and silver as well.

 

Why would these associations want to “officially” provide bogus demand data? The answer is easy. If they produce the perception that much less demand exists for physical gold and silver worldwide than actually exists, than they can use this false perception to more easily control paper prices, and since paper prices for now still are heavily tied to physical prices, ultimately control physical prices as well. Remember it is not the control of reality that bankers ever seek. It is the control of perception, as perception sets prices. In order to control prices, what would you do? The answer would be to deliberately overinflate supply figures and underinflate demand figures as rising supply and falling demand will suppress prices. So even were these assumptions of mine true, and physical demand of silver is underreported and physical supply of silver is overreported, according to one of these global associations, the Silver Institute, in 2015, physical demand exceeded physical supply by about 130 million troy ounces. Remember, if supply is overreported and demand underreported, then the real deficit may even be greater than this.

 

If, moving forward, silver continues to run at a supply-demand deficit with demand outstripping supply, then physical inventories of silver will continue to tumble, and eventually, as this realization outstrips the fake perception bankers create in paper silver derivative products, then physical supply demand determinants will start having a larger influence over silver prices than paper supply demand determinants. Of course, there is a wide array of many factors that come into play as far as whether or not this situation will manifest in the future, but there are many factors that seem to point towards this development. Number one, a large amount of silver supply produced by the world’s silver mines is consumed every year, with roughly 60% of annual production consumed for industrial purposes.

 

If, and this is a big if, but if the solar energy industry continues to grow, silver is a huge material component of solar panels, and the growth of solar energy needs in India, China and other countries with massive global populations would keep industrial consumption of silver as a percentage of total production every year strong. Silver, despite hugely volatile prices, has been attracting more and more attention as a wealth preserving precious metal, and whereas investment demand only ate up about 5.5% of supply just a decade ago, investment demand for bars and coins, in 2015 consumed 28% of total annual supply. Again, these figures must be taken with a grain of salt as they originate from banking provided data, but I think it is safe to say, given the data we know about explosive demand for silver coins in recent years in the United States, Canada, and other countries, that investment demand is growing sharply. Thus, I expect investment demand for bars and coins to continue to diminish physical supplies of silver in future years.

 

Given the above trends, and my future forecasts of growing worldwide demand for silver coins and bars, since I can buy 69 ounces of silver for every one ounce of gold, I would have to conclude that the upside price potential for silver is greater than gold in the next few years.

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How Much Further Will the Gold and Silver Correction Run?

March 10th, 2017
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In my last article, I stated, “I believe that this current correction in gold and silver stocks will provide a window for a few more days to weeks to get on board at a good price for the first half of 2017.” As we are still in this window of correction for gold and silver spot prices, and for those of you that follow my Snapchat channel, you know that I warned of further declines in gold and silver spot prices yesterday before market open in NY, and thereafter, silver sold off by another 1.73% and spot gold descended below $1,200 an ounce. So what is next? Is the correction over yet? I don’t believe so, and as I stated in my most recent Snapchats, we are continuing to take hedges and maintain them until further evidence of a bottom has been put in. Recall that in the articles I released earlier this year, I stated the basic wisdom regarding the premise of using hedges to short paper gold and paper silver when uncertainty about current direction remains. Given the volatility of short-term periods that bankers like to use to obscure and cloud the long-term picture, the necessity of using such hedges will always remain until such obvious banker PM price manipulation disappears. Regarding Snapchat, I mentioned before that I am posting daily when possible and that remains true. For those of you following me there, at SKWealthAcademy, I apologize for missing a few days, but that was only due to the fact that I was on the road in an area with poor internet strength, so I just waited until I returned to an area with good internet signals before posting daily again. Read the rest of this entry »

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How to Interpret the Deliberately Ambiguous Language of US Central Bankers

February 28th, 2017
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As I stated yesterday, “I believe that this current correction in gold and silver stocks will provide a window for a few more days to weeks to get on board at a good price for the first half of 2017.” Yesterday, gold and silver stocks corrected further as I believed they would, but they also sold off an inordinate amount considering the slight pullback in the underlying metals themselves, with gold only correcting less than $5 an ounce and silver down less than half a percent. These minimal pullbacks in spot gold and spot silver prices shouldn’t have triggered the much larger percent sell-offs in gold and silver mining stocks that occurred in yesterday’s markets, so are the larger price sell-offs in the PM stocks predicting imminent future sell-offs in spot gold and spot silver prices? Read the rest of this entry »

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Will Gold and Silver’s Strong Start to 2017 Resume Shortly?

February 27th, 2017
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As I stated in my last article here that I published in 9 February 2016, one should have disregarded the sensationalistic articles that were touting a massive gold and silver stock breakout back then, because as I explained, even if one presumes that such a breakout is going to happen from whatever analysis one engages in, it is literally impossible to predict the exact day when such an event will occur, save for pure luck. From the chart below of the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX), you can see the technical event that led to such predictions back then, which I’ve circled below. The event was basically a break above the 200-day MA, which prompted many predictions of the GDX immediately rising to about 28.50 before happening.

 

 

And as normally happens, instead of continuing higher in a rocket shot as predicted by some, those predictions instead acted almost as the perfect contraindicator in marking the short-term top, from which the GDX and many other gold and silver mining stocks have now pulled back by about 6% or so. Of course, gold and silver mining stocks could have broken out back then, but those predictions again would have been right from pure luck and nothing else. As I’ve stated probably at least a couple dozen times in the past decade, the problem with relying solely on technical analysis in gold and silver assets is that it is more a leading indicator than anything else because traders paint the charts to produce certain expectations, and often use these expectations to sucker people in on the wrong side of the trade to skim profits in the short-term. For example, if a lot of money poured into call options on gold and silver stocks based upon the short-term prediction of an imminent breakout on technical analysis, traders and bankers could then proceed to make some easy money by painting charts that “predict” an imminent move and then influence markets to manifest the exact opposite move. Read the rest of this entry »

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Will Junior Gold and Silver Mining Stocks Outperform their Larger Peers in 2017?

February 10th, 2017
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In yesterday’s article about BTC, I wrote “it is always critical to track what is happening to the Chinese BTC market to understand what may happen to BTC prices in the future ” because “if the PBOC cracks down on BTC, they could cause another huge, rapid sell-off in BTC prices.” About 12 hours after I wrote this, after observing an environment of a large number of Chinese traders shorting BTC that predicted imminent new regulations, the Chinese government imposed new regulations on Chinese BTC exchanges, and BTC rapidly plummeted $100. Of course, with large global banks rapidly increasing their influence among blockchain development companies and other digital currencies, the Chinese government is not the only institution one has to worry about when predicting future BTC price volatility, but you can refer to yesterday’s article for more information about that topic.

 

Today, I want to return our focus to the 2017 global gold and silver outlook. As I stated to start this year, I still believe that 2017 will mark another strong year for gold and silver asset prices, and certainly this year has gotten off to a strong start. I mentioned in previous articles, that we utilized a lot of successful hedges and moved some positions to cash in December when bankers were raiding gold and silver to deal with the temporary downtrend in gold and silver assets while still remaining net long gold and silver assets, and then became more aggressively long after the raid ended. Read the rest of this entry »

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Will the Banker War on Cash Spread to a War on Bitcoin?

February 9th, 2017
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Over the years, I’ve written a number of articles regarding why I prefer physical gold and physical silver over bitcoin (BTC). I believe in monetary competition, however, and believe that different forms of money should be allowed to compete, because the best form will eventually and quite rapidly always rise to the top. However, we are far from such an environment, as government/banking cartels have banned the use of gold and silver as systemically-wide accepted forms of money worldwide while ensuring that their rapidly devaluing fiat currencies remain the norm. So where does BTC fit into this picture? Again, I think that BTC has its place in the economy, especially since transaction fees using BTC are well below the highway-robbery rates of global banking institutions. However, BTC has yet to prove itself in preserving purchasing power over decades of time as has gold and silver, nor does it meet all 9 qualities that I deem necessary for sound money.

 

In any event, as some of you may well know, BTC has exhibited massive volatility in 2017, far beyond even the sometimes volatile price fluctuations in spot gold and spot silver prices. BTC started out this year reaching an interim high of $1,129.87 per BTC, then plunged a maddening 31% in just 5 trading days to $775 after the Chinese government placed more restrictions on BTC trading, but since then, has nicely recovered 24% of that plunge and has risen back to $1,052.54 per BTC. At the time, BTC rose to $1,129, many posed the question of whether BTC was better than gold, which in my opinion, it will never be due to its digital nature. Some ask why would Chinese regulations cause BTC to plunge 31% in five trading days, and the answer is simple. Chinese speculators were almost entirely responsible for the rise of BTC from $800 to $1,129 at the end of 2016 into the start of 2017. As the Chinese government took more measures to clamp down on black money leaving China, wealthy Chinese turned increasingly towards BTC as their preferred mechanism to move black money out of China, thus fueling a speculative, unsustainable rise in BTC price. Furthermore, Chinese traders not even using BTC to move black money out of the country piggybacked off of this rising, easy trade because most Chinese BTC exchanges charged no fees on either end of the buy and sell transactions for BTC. However, when regulators changed these rules and implemented a 0.2% transaction fee on both ends of the trade, the easy speculative profits disappeared, and in response, BTC volumes collapsed 90% almost overnight on every Chinese BTC exchange. Read the rest of this entry »

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What Lies Ahead for Gold and Silver Prices?

January 27th, 2017
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Every time gold and silver prices have a good run, there tends to be a proliferation of sensationalistic articles that state something to the effect of “gold ready to break out to new highs now” or “silver about to surge tremendously”. To such sensationalistic articles, I always say, pay no attention to them, because no one really can ever predict the exact date when gold will surge by $100 and silver by $3 or $4 in a single trading session, as these events are likely to happen at some point in the future when most people are not expecting it to happen, and not during a time when everyone is expecting it to happen. It’s good to be optimistic whenever gold and silver have a good run, but it’s also good to stay rooted in realism as well, so one can spot risks when they appear instead of being blinded to such risks by excessive optimism. Furthermore, more often than not, a proliferation of such articles often marks a short-term reversal in prices. Certainly gold and silver have had a good run since the last week of December into the New Year, such that our CIO newsletter has gotten off to a solid January, up by 7.53% in January.

 

Still, risk is risk, and when risk rears her ugly head, much better to heed it than to ignore it. In fact, based upon my analysis of global gold and silver markets, I announced on my Snapchat channel (yes I’m posting every day now) two days ago on 25 January (24 January in the West), when gold was still trading at $1,210 and silver was still at $17.20 in Asia that morning, that there “was significant risk” to gold and silver prices that could very well manifest as we closed this month and headed into February. That very evening in New York, just several hours after I posted this warning on Snapchat, spot gold and spot silver closed down by its largest single-day decline since 21 December. I reiterated the following day on Snapchat, the morning of the 26th in Asia (the evening of the 25th in the West) that even though many thought this gold pullback was just a temporary one to the $1,200 mark or slightly lower, and that gold would rebound off support at $1,200, that there was still considerable risk to spot gold and spot silver prices right ahead. So for those that have supported me on Snapchat, thank you for following, and I hope you heeded my warnings if you are long gold and long silver. Read the rest of this entry »

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In the Banker War on Cash, New Zealand and Canada Are the Next Major Countries on the Banker Hit List

January 12th, 2017
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As we warned more than 4½ years ago in this article here, the criminal banking cartel’s end game involves restricting freedom of speech and curbing any criticism of their criminal banking industry by banning cash and imposing an end game of 100% digital money upon all of us. Now with the benefit of 4½ more years, there can be little doubt that indeed, that the banking industry has advanced their war against all of us by accelerating their war on cash, and attempting to disguise this war on cash as a war on corruption.

 

Any logical person would understand the vast irony in such a statement, especially since bankers are leading these false charges of a war on cash as a war on corruption, not only given the fact that the banking industry is the most corrupt industry on the planet, but also given the fact that bankers provide much of the dirty money that feeds global stock markets by laundering tons of dirty money for the world’s most violent drug cartels. Recall that in 2012, HSBC bankers had to pay a $1.9B fine for willingly laundering hundreds of millions, and more likely billions of dollars, of dirty money for the largest and most murderous Mexican drug cartels. Though HSBC CEO Stuart Gulliver unconvincingly denied approving of these transactions, any logical person would conclude that it is next to impossible for the CEO of a bank not to know that origin of the source of hundreds of millions of dollars of cash flowing into his bank. Read the rest of this entry »

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Investors’ Number One Flaw Often Revealed During Gold and Silver Raids

December 28th, 2016
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In many aspects of life, being ruled by one’s emotions can often cause one to land in hot water. This is not to say that one should be devoid of all emotion and act like a robot, because no one likes a stiff and unfeeling person. However, as with life, balance is necessary. Yin and yang. Unfortunately, many of us, as investors, fall victim to the pitfall of making decisions from a raw emotional place, instead of a place more balanced by logic, far more frequently than we would like. Even in martial arts training, I learned that letting one’s emotions get the best of oneself during a confrontation could be dangerous, whether it was crippling fear that would delay response and reaction time in which fractions of a second make a huge difference, or anger that would cause lapses in judgement that would leave one vulnerable to counterattacks. Furthermore, I even learned that the adrenaline surge that accompanies the onset of anger would soon be followed by an adrenaline dump that would cause one to become unexpectedly and easily tired, a dangerous predicament in a prolonged confrontation.

 

In vlogging about this recent and ongoing gold and silver raid, I’ve discovered that emotions also prevent us from making prudent decisions in investing as well. Though all of us have heard time and time again that investing is an emotional activity, too often, many of us become so emotionally and inflexibly committed to a position that we never waver from our stance, even when we know that there could be a huge possibility of our stance being wrong, rather than to simply step away from the situation for a second, calm our minds, and make rational, logical decisions. Even though I detest the immoral, criminal banker raids against spot gold and spot silver prices that are, without doubt, a misanthropic attack on the freedom of humanity (as an attack on sound money helps elevate the status of counterfeit fiat currencies in the public eye), none of us who are long gold and silver, even if it is just physical gold and silver, should have to relegate ourselves to idly standing by without taking any counter measures against this abominable banker-executed manipulation. Read the rest of this entry »

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Less YouTube, More Snapchat, and Banker Wars on Cash and Gold.

December 19th, 2016
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As all of you that have been long-time readers of this blog know, we have several primary channels of distribution for all the news we distribute – our YouTube channel, our free newsletter (subscribe on our website), and this blog.

 

However, ever since Google bought out YouTube, YouTube has become increasingly hostile towards any distribution of any hard-hitting news about the systemic and rampant criminality of the commercial financial and banking industry. We’ve had numerous problems with censorship issues of our news over the past several years with both Google and YouTube, so we are going to migrate towards other channels of news distribution. Read the rest of this entry »

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Join Our SKWealthAcademy Snapchat Channel

December 19th, 2016
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For daily updates on gold and silver markets, building positive life-building wealth, (not monetary wealth only), and the launch of our new SmartKnowledgeWealthAcademy, please follow us on Snapchat. You may add us by taking a photo of the snapcode below and then tapping “add friends” and “add by snapcode” or by searching for the snapchat username “skwealthacademy.”

 

skwealthacademy snapcode

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With Federal Reserve Uncertainty Out of the Way, the Gold and Silver Bull Will Now Resume

September 23rd, 2016
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Last year, we were consistent in stating all year that every dip in the price of gold and silver assets was a trap and false buying opportunity that would just precede lower prices. This year, we’ve been consistent in our message that every significant dip has been a true buying opportunity and would precede strong rebounds in the price in gold and silver assets.  For example, on 25 August, we wrote a piece titled, “Don’t Worry. Falling Gold and Silver Prices Equals Big Opportunity”, and well before that, on 21 June 2016, we penned a piece titled “Three Charts that Show Much Higher Gold and Silver Prices are Still Ahead.”

 
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